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French bettor wins $79m on pro-Trump Polymarket bets, government threatens to ban site

November 7, 2024Updated:November 7, 2024No Comments2 Mins Read
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French bettor wins m on pro-Trump Polymarket bets, government threatens to ban site
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A French-based gambler earned virtually $79 million from betting on Donald Trump’s presidential win throughout 9 Polymarket accounts, Chainalysis claims. In the meantime, the French authorities threatens to ban the decentralized betting website.

Blockchain analytics agency Chainalysis which tracks on-chain exercise has recognized {that a} single French dealer controlling 9 accounts on Polymarket made an estimated $78.7 million revenue by betting on a Trump presidential win.

1/ It’s been extensively reported that one whale, allegedly a French man named Theo, managed 4 @Polymarket accounts and had vital positions betting on a Trump win. We estimate he profited ~$78.7M. pic.twitter.com/laW9Y4zNXj

— Chainalysis (@chainalysis) November 6, 2024

Initially, crypto.information reported that the dealer, generally known as Theo4 and Fredi9999, profited virtually $22 million from betting on Trump victory through the use of 4 totally different accounts.

As one among Polymarket’s largest contributors, Theo4’s trades attracted scrutiny, with some analysts elevating considerations about potential market manipulation. Nonetheless, Polymarket denied any manipulation, claiming that the dealer’s bets mirrored private views reasonably than an try to control markets.

In late October, Polymarket chief govt Shayne Coplan shot down New York Instances allegations claiming the prediction platform is politically biased. Coplan described the Polygon-based betting service as a impartial various knowledge supply presently benefiting from election-related hype. His feedback had been in response to a latest article from The New York Instances that accused Polymarket of partisan manipulation and labeled it as nothing greater than a “crypto-powered playing” website.

“One dealer to rule all of them”

Nonetheless, issues took a brand new flip when in an X thread on Nov. 6, Chainalysis disclosed 5 extra accounts related to the identical dealer. The New York-headquartered blockchain analytics agency defined that the accounts are tied by their “funding patterns, timing of transactions, and money out to particular change deposit addresses.”

Per Chainalysis’ calculations, the dealer made roughly $79 million throughout all accounts. Earlier, Theo4 has beforehand dismissed political motivations. He notably emphasised that his bets had been purely financially pushed as his intent was “simply being profitable.”

In the meantime, France’s playing authority is reportedly set to ban Polymarket. In accordance with native media stories, the Nationwide Gaming Authority is reviewing the platform’s operations and its compliance with French playing legal guidelines. Nonetheless, the regulator has but to subject an official assertion on the matter.

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