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Citi’s Base Case is Bearish

September 15, 2025Updated:September 15, 2025No Comments2 Mins Read
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Citi’s Base Case is Bearish
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Citi’s Base Case is Bearish

Wall Road large Citigroup (C) has launched new ether (ETH) forecasts, calling for $4,300 by year-end, which might be a decline from the present $4,515.

That is the bottom case although. The financial institution’s full evaluation is large sufficient to drive a military regiment by way of, with the bull case being $6,400 and the bear case $2,200.

The financial institution analysts stated community exercise stays the important thing driver of ether’s worth, however a lot of the current development has been on layer-2s, the place worth “pass-through” to Ethereum’s base layer is unclear.

Citi assumes simply 30% of layer-2 exercise contributes to ether’s valuation, placing present costs above its activity-based mannequin, seemingly because of robust inflows and pleasure round tokenization and stablecoins.

A layer 1 community is the bottom layer, or the underlying infrastructure of a blockchain. Layer 2 refers to a set of off-chain techniques or separate blockchains constructed on prime of layer 1s.

Alternate-traded fund (ETF) flows, although smaller than bitcoin’s (BTC), have a much bigger worth affect per greenback, however Citi expects them to stay restricted given ether’s smaller market cap and decrease visibility with new traders.

Macro elements are seen including solely modest help. With equities already close to the financial institution’s S&P 500 6,600 goal, the analysts don’t anticipate main upside from danger belongings.

Learn extra: Ether Larger Beneficiary of Digital Asset Treasuries Than Bitcoin or Solana: StanChart





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