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Bitcoin’s $125k Record Fueled By US Gov’t Shutdown, Macro Factors: Analysts

October 5, 2025Updated:October 5, 2025No Comments3 Mins Read
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Bitcoin’s 5k Record Fueled By US Gov’t Shutdown, Macro Factors: Analysts
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Bitcoin breached a brand new all-time excessive over the weekend, prompting analysts to name for a renewed accumulation section that might gasoline a rally to $150,000 earlier than the top of the yr.

Bitcoin (BTC) set a brand new all-time excessive above $125,700, and its market capitalization briefly crossed the $2.5 trillion milestone for the primary time in crypto historical past, Cointelegraph reported earlier on Sunday.

The rally was supported by a number of macroeconomic elements, together with the latest US authorities shutdown — the primary since 2018 — which some analysts say has renewed curiosity in Bitcoin’s store-of-value position.

Previously, related situations have led to “main worth milestones,” in line with Fabian Dori, chief funding officer at digital asset banking group Sygnum Financial institution.

The US authorities shutdown has “renewed dialogue round Bitcoin’s store-of-value position, as political dysfunction underscores curiosity in decentralised belongings,” Dori advised Cointelegraph. “On the identical time, the broader surroundings — characterised by free liquidity situations, a service-led acceleration within the enterprise cycle, and narrowing underperformance relative to equities and gold — has drawn consideration to digital belongings,” he added.

Bitcoin’s $125k Record Fueled By US Gov’t Shutdown, Macro Factors: Analysts
BTC/USD, year-to-date chart. Supply: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Nonetheless, the extent of the federal government shutdown’s tailwind impact on the crypto market will finally rely on the way it influences the US Federal Reserve’s perspective on rate of interest selections, Jake Kennis, senior analysis analyst at Nansen, advised Cointelegraph.

“Crypto markets may benefit from a shutdown decision if it reduces uncertainty and pushes the Fed towards a extra dovish stance,” Kennis added.

Whereas some analysts noticed the federal government shutdown as a sign of a possible crypto market backside, Kennis mentioned it’s “untimely to name this an area market backside,” as affirmation would require “multi-week stability above key help ranges.”

Associated: Bitcoin ETFs kickstart ‘Uptober’ with $3.2B in second-best week on report

Bitcoin enters new accumulation section

Some analysts view Bitcoin’s latest development as an indication of a brand new accumulation section by giant entities, as onchain information suggests a decline in promoting stress from whales.

“Market information signifies the present worth motion could also be linked to an accumulation section,” mentioned Sygnym Financial institution’s Dori.

“Promoting stress from long-term holders seems to be easing, whereas short-term traders present indicators of stabilisation after a interval of realised losses.”

Intervals of “cooling speculative exercise and steadier positioning” have traditionally preceded important Bitcoin rallies, he added.

Associated: Crypto dealer turns $3K into $2M after CZ put up sends memecoin hovering

In the meantime, Bitcoin’s open curiosity “reset sharply” after final week’s choices expiry, which can “set the stage” for the fourth quarter, in line with blockchain information platform Glassnode.

Supply: Glassnode

Slowing speculative exercise might entice extra consideration to Bitcoin, reinforcing analyst predictions of a breakout to $150,000 within the fourth quarter of 2025 if BTC can maintain its momentum above the important thing $120,000 psychological stage, Charles Edwards advised Cointelegraph at Token2049.

Journal: Bitcoin to see ‘yet another huge thrust’ to $150K, ETH stress builds