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US Government Poised to Shut Down — Will it Affect Market Structure?

September 29, 2025Updated:September 29, 2025No Comments3 Mins Read
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US Government Poised to Shut Down — Will it Affect Market Structure?
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Except Republicans negotiate with Democrats and log off on a bipartisan funding invoice, the US authorities will shut down at midnight on Tuesday, seemingly delaying any consideration of a digital asset market construction invoice within the Senate.

On Monday, the US Home of Representatives and Senate leaders are scheduled to fulfill with President Donald Trump to barter phrases to keep away from a authorities shutdown. Although within the majority of each chambers of Congress, Republicans want further help to cross a brief funding invoice to maintain the federal government open, resulting in Democrats asking for a reversal in most of the healthcare cuts from a funds invoice signed into regulation in July — i.e., the “One Massive, Lovely Invoice.”

A shutdown would successfully cease US lawmakers from contemplating or voting on any payments at present transferring by means of Congress, together with having Trump signal them into regulation, and sure any regulatory actions from the Securities and Change Fee (SEC) and Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee (CFTC).

This may imply that consideration of the digital asset market construction invoice within the US Senate Banking Committee, already pushed from the top of September to October, may see further delays.

US Government Poised to Shut Down — Will it Affect Market Structure?
Prediction market possibilities on the US authorities shutting down by Oct. 1. Supply: Polymarket

Although partial or full authorities shutdowns over coverage disputes have occurred for the reason that Reagan administration within the Nineteen Eighties, Trump holds the file for being on the helm throughout the longest one in US historical past: 35 days in 2018 and 2019, over his plan to construct a US-Mexico border wall. Lawmakers’ priorities throughout a shutdown would seemingly shift to persevering with to fund the federal government quite than any unrelated payments like crypto market construction.

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What to anticipate from negotiations?

Trump mentioned final week that “no assembly with [Democratic] Congressional Leaders may probably be productive” to keep away from a possible shutdown, with the White Home later issuing a press release suggesting that the president wouldn’t be open to any negotiations. Nonetheless, Trump is ready to fulfill with Home Minority Chief Hakeem Jeffries, Senate Minority Chief Chuck Schumer, Home Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate Majority Chief John Thune on Monday.

Thune mentioned in a Sunday interview that Republicans had a “easy, seven-week funding decision” that might briefly lengthen funding for the federal government by means of November. Jeffries pushed again on the characterization of the measure as a “clear invoice” final week, saying that it did nothing to deal with Democrats’ name to reverse healthcare cuts within the July spending invoice.

The market construction invoice within the Senate, also called the Accountable Monetary Innovation Act, is predicted to construct upon the CLARITY Act handed by the Home in July, clarifying the roles the CFTC and SEC would have in overseeing digital property.

Wyoming Senator Cynthia Lummis, one of many invoice’s most important Republican proponents, initially deliberate to have it cross the banking committee by the top of September. Reviews steered that the committee had pushed consideration to late October, and a authorities shutdown may additional delay this timeline.

Ought to negotiations fail and neither facet conform to a funding invoice, the US authorities will shut down at midnight Tuesday.

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