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This Level Still Must Fall

January 14, 2026Updated:January 14, 2026No Comments3 Mins Read
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Dogecoin (DOGE) is urgent right into a technically essential resolution space after a pointy bounce, however a number of chart reads from a number of revered crypto analysts converge on the identical level: the rally solely graduates from “reduction” to “reversal” if DOGE can clear the mid-$0.15s and put in a recent native excessive.

Dogecoin Rallies, However The Actual Check Is $0.157

The framing by Kevin (Kev_Capital_TA) is express about what affirmation seems to be like. “Dogecoin like BTC and plenty of different Altcoins got here again and efficiently examined its key 4HR MA’s after breaking out of them in an try to finish its main corrective part. A profitable retest adopted by a brand new native excessive can be additional proof the corrective part ended within the actual zone we mentioned it will. A brand new excessive can be a break of .157 cents.”

This Level Still Must Fall
Dogecoin 4-hour chart | Supply: X @Kev_Capital_TA

On Kevin’s 4-hour view, DOGE spent months trending decrease whereas repeatedly failing at declining moving-average bands, the chart marks a number of prior rejections. The current push increased is notable as a result of worth reclaimed these averages after which pulled again into them, holding the retest reasonably than rolling straight over. That habits is in step with a regime making an attempt to rotate from “sell-the-rip” to “buy-the-dip,” however the chart makes clear the market remains to be buying and selling beneath a broader downtrend construction until it will probably drive the next excessive.

Associated Studying

Cantonese Cat’s every day snapshot captures the place that friction is displaying up in actual time. The most recent candle closes at $0.1486 after printing $0.1508 on the day, successfully tagging into the identical space the place sellers have leaned in earlier than.

He writes: “DOGE is placing in one other bullish every day candle that engulfs the final 5 bearish candles.” Whereas that is an bullish sign a short-term impulsive transfer, a brand new increased excessive nonetheless must be achieved by the Dogecoin bulls.

Dogecoin daily chart
Dogecoin every day chart | Supply: X @cantonmeow

Associated Studying

@BigCheds’ every day panel underscores why the mid-$0.15s matter: DOGE stays beneath heavier pattern measures, with the 34-day EMA at $0.1828 and the 200-day SMA at $0.2212 nonetheless properly overhead.

Dogecoin key resistance zone
Dogecoin key resistance zone | Supply: X @BigCheds

Bollinger Bands present DOGE rebounding out of low-end compression, with the decrease band round $0.11, the premise close to $0.135, and the higher band near $0.16. Worth first bounced off the decrease band, pushed via the premise and tagged the higher band, then retraced to the premise, held the retest, and is now rotating again towards the higher envelope.

The setup is evident: holding above the reclaimed short-term averages and clearing $0.157 would full the “retest, then increased excessive” sequence Kevin is watching, whereas additionally forcing worth via the every day provide zone Massive Cheds has boxed out. A renewed push into the higher Bollinger Band would add affirmation that momentum is increasing within the route of the transfer.

Failure to clear that zone, adopted by a slip again beneath the reclaimed MA space, would shift consideration to $0.1319 first, then $0.1208, with $0.1068 because the deeper line within the sand proven on the chart.

At press time, DOGE traded at $0.14768.

Dogecoin price chart
DOGE should break the 200-week EMA, 1-week chart | Supply: DOGEUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured picture created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com



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