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CFTC fires back as states target prediction markets

February 18, 2026Updated:February 18, 2026No Comments2 Mins Read
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CFTC fires back as states target prediction markets
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The US Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee (CFTC) has moved to defend its authority over prediction markets, submitting a friend-of-the-court transient as state-level authorized challenges in opposition to the sector intensify.

Abstract

  • The U.S. Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee filed a friend-of-the-court transient to defend its unique jurisdiction over prediction markets amid rising state-level authorized challenges.
  • Chairman Mike Selig stated the company has regulated prediction markets for over 20 years and warned challengers: “We are going to see you in courtroom.”
  • The transfer comes because the U.S. Securities and Alternate Fee indicators some event-based contracts might qualify as securities, whereas states like Nevada try to limit platforms together with Coinbase.

CFTC defends management of US prediction markets

In a video posted on X, CFTC Chairman Mike Selig stated American prediction markets have confronted “an onslaught of state-led litigation” over the previous yr. In response, the company is stepping in to claim what it describes as its unique jurisdiction over these by-product merchandise.

“Prediction markets aren’t new,” Selig stated. “The CFTC has regulated these markets for over 20 years.”

He argued that such markets play a beneficial function by permitting Individuals to hedge industrial dangers, together with temperature fluctuations and vitality value spikes. He additionally urged they operate as a examine on media narratives and broader info flows.

The authorized battle comes as regulators debate whether or not sure prediction market contracts fall beneath securities or commodities regulation. The U.S. Securities and Alternate Fee not too long ago warned that some event-based contracts might be categorized as securities, doubtlessly subjecting platforms to its oversight.

In the meantime, states together with Nevada have sought to limit the operations of crypto-linked prediction platforms, although a Nevada courtroom not too long ago declined to dam Coinbase from providing sure prediction market companies.

The CFTC’s submitting underscores escalating jurisdictional tensions between federal and state authorities, in addition to between monetary regulators. Selig emphasised that the company intends to guard the “integrity, resilience, and vibrancy” of US derivatives markets.

“To those that search to problem our authority on this area, let me be clear,” he stated. “We are going to see you in courtroom.”

The case might have vital implications for the way forward for US-based prediction markets and their regulatory framework.

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