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Bitcoin stalls near record highs amid derivative pressures but breakout potential remains

May 17, 2025Updated:May 17, 2025No Comments3 Mins Read
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Bitcoin stalls near record highs amid derivative pressures but breakout potential remains
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Bitcoin stalls near record highs amid derivative pressures but breakout potential remains

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to exhibit on-chain energy regardless of a chronic interval of worth compression between $100,000 and $105,000. 

In response to Constancy Digital Property’ VP of analysis, Chris Kuiper, the flagship crypto stays in its “Acceleration Part,” a interval characterised by elevated pockets profitability and volatility, at the same time as derivatives exercise dampens upward momentum.

Bitcoin closed at $104,119 on Could 13, with 99% of addresses in revenue. Constancy knowledge reveals that 10 days in Could have certified as high-profit, high-volatility classes. Traditionally, this part has aligned with breakout actions, together with the surge that adopted the US election in late 2020. 

Regardless of these situations, Bitcoin has been unable to decisively breach its higher resistance ranges, with closing costs largely contained inside a slim $94,000 to $104,000 band all through the primary half of Could.

Derivatives exercise creating headwinds

In response to a Could 16 report by CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost, the restrained worth motion stems from structural pressures within the derivatives market.

The report highlighted that cumulative internet taker quantity, a measure of aggressive buying and selling circulate, has remained destructive since Bitcoin reclaimed the $100,000 stage. This imbalance reveals that quick positions have outweighed longs, producing sustained promoting stress. 

The bearish positioning signifies that merchants are skeptical of a near-term transfer to new all-time highs and are actively betting in opposition to additional upside. So long as this imbalance persists, Bitcoin’s upward potential stays capped regardless of favorable situations in spot and on-chain markets.

Worth stagnation within the presence of bullish fundamentals shouldn’t be unprecedented. Nevertheless, even sturdy community alerts could be muted briefly when by-product flows overpower spot accumulation. 

The present divergence between derivatives exercise and on-chain profitability highlights the friction in Bitcoin’s worth discovery course of.

Bitcoin volatility hits file low vs. gold

Bitcoin’s muted worth motion has additionally resulted in a historic compression of volatility, which has hit ranges final seen greater than 10 years in the past.

VanEck’s head of digital property analysis, Matthew Sigel, famous on Could 16 that Bitcoin’s 30-day volatility has dropped under gold’s for the primary time since knowledge monitoring started. 

Primarily based on Bloomberg terminal metrics, the BBR/GC1 ratio is now at 0.857, its lowest stage over a decade.

Whereas derivatives positioning stays a near-term barrier, historic patterns counsel that extended durations of volatility suppression have usually preceded giant directional strikes. 

Whether or not that materializes once more relies on shifts in taker circulate, macro situations, and liquidity situations.

Bitcoin Market Knowledge

On the time of press 1:56 am UTC on Could. 17, 2025, Bitcoin is ranked #1 by market cap and the worth is down 0.55% over the previous 24 hours. Bitcoin has a market capitalization of $2.05 trillion with a 24-hour buying and selling quantity of $44.01 billion. Be taught extra about Bitcoin ›

Crypto Market Abstract

On the time of press 1:56 am UTC on Could. 17, 2025, the overall crypto market is valued at at $3.28 trillion with a 24-hour quantity of $109.93 billion. Bitcoin dominance is at the moment at 62.52%. Be taught extra concerning the crypto market ›

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