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Bitcoin Crash to $100? Harvard Professor Rogoff Revisits 2018 BTC Price Prediction

August 21, 2025Updated:August 21, 2025No Comments2 Mins Read
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Bitcoin Crash to 0? Harvard Professor Rogoff Revisits 2018 BTC Price Prediction
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Bitcoin Crash to $100? Harvard Professor Rogoff Revisits 2018 BTC Price Prediction

In 2018, Kenneth S Rogoff, professor of economics at Harvard College and a former chief economist on the Worldwide Financial Fund, predicted bitcoin

was extra more likely to be price $100 than $100,000 in a decade.

In actuality, bitcoin’s value rose above $100,000 this yr, a 10-fold enhance from March 2018’s sub-$10,000 degree when Rogoff predicted the crash.

On Tuesday, with bitcoin hovering round $113,000, Rogoff mirrored on how he had missed the mark, saying he had been “far too optimistic in regards to the U.S. coming to its senses concerning wise cryptocurrency regulation.”

In a put up on X, Harvard economist Ken Rogoff expressed mentioned he’d anticipated policymakers to undertake a agency stance to curb the usage of cryptocurrencies in tax evasion and unlawful actions. He was, not directly, criticizing the regulatory atmosphere as being lower than prudent and permitting cryptocurrencies like BTC to flourish in methods he didn’t anticipate.

Rogoff underestimated how bitcoin would compete with fiat currencies to function the transaction medium of alternative within the 20 trillion-dollar international underground financial system.

“This demand places a flooring on its value, as I talk about at size in my new e book Our Greenback, Your Drawback,” Rogoff mentioned.

He additionally flagged a “blatant battle of curiosity,” with regulators “holding lots of of thousands and thousands (if not billions) of {dollars} in cryptocurrencies seemingly with out consequence.”





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