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Bitcoin at Historic Highs: What Next?

October 5, 2025Updated:October 5, 2025No Comments2 Mins Read
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Bitcoin at Historic Highs: What Next?
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That is an evaluation publish by CoinDesk analyst and Chartered Market Technician Omkar Godbole.

As bitcoin BTC$122,851.32 trades in uncharted territory close to report highs, merchants could also be looking for cues on what comes subsequent, particularly key ranges that might act as magnets or resistance factors.

Listed below are three necessary ranges price watching intently.

$126,100

This stage represents the higher boundary of the broadening or increasing vary sample that has been creating since mid-July. The potential resistance is outlined by the trendline connecting the July 15 and Aug. 14 highs.

BTC's daily price chart in candlesticks format. (CoinDesk)

BTC’s increasing value vary. (CoinDesk)

A reversal from this stage might set off a corrective pullback down towards the decrease boundary of the vary, represented by the trendline drawn from the Aug. 3 and Sept. 1 lows.

$135,000

A breakout from the increasing vary would shift focus to $135,000, the place market makers at present maintain a internet lengthy gamma place, in keeping with exercise in Deribit-listed choices tracked by Amberdata.

When market makers are internet lengthy gamma, they have a tendency to commerce in opposition to the market path – shopping for on dips and promoting on rallies – to take care of their total market-neutral publicity. Different issues being equal, this hedging exercise tends to dampen value volatility.

In different phrases, the $135,000 stage might act as a resistance on the way in which larger.

 Distribution of delaer/market maker gamma. (Amberdata)

BTC choices on Deribit: Distribution of delaer/market maker gamma. (Amberdata)

$140,000

Lastly, $140,000 stands out as key stage, as knowledge from Deribit reveals the $140,000 strike name is the second-most well-liked on the change, holding a notional open curiosity of over $2 billion.

Notional open curiosity refers back to the greenback worth of the variety of lively or open choices contracts at a given time.

Ranges with giant concentrations of open curiosity typically act as magnets, drawing the value of the underlying asset towards them. A excessive open curiosity in name choices means that many merchants count on the spot value to strategy or prime that stage.

On the identical time, those that have offered these calls, typically giant establishments, have an incentive to maintain the value under that strike. Their hedging and buying and selling exercise round that stage can create resistance, making it more durable for the value to interrupt by means of.

Distribution of open interest in Deribit-listed BTC options. (Deribit Metrics)

BTC choices: distribution of open curiosity. (Deribit Metrics)





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