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Asia Morning Briefing: BTC Rebounds Toward $115K as ETF Flows Return, but Traders Still Price Tail Risk

August 5, 2025Updated:August 5, 2025No Comments3 Mins Read
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Asia Morning Briefing: BTC Rebounds Toward 5K as ETF Flows Return, but Traders Still Price Tail Risk
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Good Morning, Asia. Right here's what's making information within the markets:

Welcome to Asia Morning Briefing, a every day abstract of prime tales throughout U.S. hours and an outline of market strikes and evaluation. For an in depth overview of U.S. markets, see CoinDesk's Crypto Daybook Americas.

As East Asia begins its buying and selling day, bitcoin (BTC) is altering fingers at simply over $115K, staging a modest rebound from final week’s selloff that noticed over $1 billion in leveraged longs liquidated and BTC briefly check $113K.

The bounce comes amid indicators of stabilization in institutional flows, with Bitwise reporting $18.74 million in internet inflows, a possible reversal after one of many largest ETF outflow days on document final Friday.

The newest correction, which marked BTC’s third straight Friday selloff, was pushed by a hawkish macro cocktail: weak U.S. jobs knowledge and a contemporary wave of tariffs from Washington, triggering a broader risk-off temper in each equities and crypto. Altcoins bore the brunt of the transfer, with SOL falling almost 20% on the week and ETH shedding near 10%.

But regardless of the drop, QCP Capital stays cautiously optimistic.

“The broader structural setup stays intact,” the agency wrote in a Monday observe, citing BTC’s highest-ever month-to-month shut in July.

QCP views the selloff as a leverage flush relatively than a development reversal, pointing to historic post-rally shakeouts that cleared the trail for renewed accumulation.

That mentioned, market hedging conduct suggests buyers aren’t ruling out deeper draw back. On Polymarket, merchants presently assign a 49% likelihood that BTC dips beneath $100,000 earlier than the tip of 2025 — up 2 proportion factors from the day prior.

The pricing displays a market that’s nonetheless on edge, with draw back tail threat priced in regardless of supportive long-term fundamentals resembling regulatory readability, rising stablecoin adoption, and tokenization initiatives.

The subsequent catalyst may come in the course of the Asia buying and selling day as U.S. issuers report flows, which usually occurs by mid-day Hong Kong time.

If ETF inflows proceed and implied volatility begins to compress, it might present the affirmation wanted for the market to embrace the buy-the-dip narrative and shake off the macro jitters which have stored it caught in impartial.

Asia Morning Briefing: BTC Rebounds Toward 5K as ETF Flows Return, but Traders Still Price Tail Risk

Market Movers:

BTC: Bitcoin is buying and selling again above $115,000, signaling early indicators of market stabilization.

ETH: Ether is holding regular round $3,700, with Polymarket merchants displaying confidence it’ll break above $4,000 someday in August.

Gold: Gold prolonged its rally for a 3rd session on Monday, rising to a two-week excessive as delicate U.S. financial knowledge boosted expectations of a September Fed price reduce, with CME merchants now pricing in an 86% likelihood of that taking place.

Nikkei 225: Asia-Pacific markets opened greater after U.S. President Donald Trump unveiled plans to sharply enhance tariffs on Indian exports. Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.54% on the open.

S&P 500: Shares rebounded Monday, with the S&P 500 rising 1.47% to six,329.94, snapping a four-day shedding streak and marking its greatest session since Might.

Elsewhere in Crypto:

  • DCG’s Barry Silbert Returns to Grayscale as Chairman Amid IPO Push (CoinDesk)
  • Former Chancellor Osborne Warns UK Is ‘Fully Left Behind’ on Crypto (Decrypt)
  • Pantera leads $20 million increase for OpenMind’s decentralized working system for robots (The Block)



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