Crypto chartist Darkish Defender says XRP’s present month-to-month construction has flipped again to the identical high-momentum regime that preceded its 2017–2018 vertical run, arguing {that a} contemporary impulsive wave is underway after final yr’s breakout. In an in depth thread accompanying a multi-year month-to-month chart, the analyst urged followers to section XRP’s historical past into “Left – Center – Proper,” contrasting a 2017 impulsive setup, a 2021 corrective detour, and what he calls in the present day’s renewed continuation section.
XRP Is Repeating 2017
On the left facet of the chart, Darkish Defender highlights the 2017 template: candles closing above prior highs, worth holding above Ichimoku Cloud help, elevated Relative Power Index, and month-to-month closes above a key exponential shifting common. “XRP had an impulsive wave by the top of 2017. This triggered the RSI spike with an enormous momentum… Quantity and the pace had been excessive, so was Momentum,” he wrote, including that the thrust concluded a “five-wave” advance earlier than a multi-month triangle consolidation shaped. The RSI, he famous, flattened however stayed above his smoothed baseline, which he interprets as a bullish continuation sign moderately than exhaustion.
Associated Studying
The center part—anchored round 2021—marks the counterpoint. Darkish Defender characterizes this era as a corrective A-B construction, with an A-wave decline from the 2018 peak and a B-wave rally that topped at $1.96. Momentum signatures weakened, and the pattern misplaced its structural helps. “Before everything, the construction in 2021 was a CORRECTIVE STRUCTURE,” he wrote.
“The value was beneath the Ichimoku Clouds, therefore bearish… The Triangle didn’t have any candles above the orange resistance… The exponential shifting common… was damaged draw back.” He additionally reminds readers that “the lawsuit was ongoing,” situating the sample in a interval of headline danger and depressed pattern high quality.
The proper-hand panel is the place his thesis turns decisively bullish. Darkish Defender says a “CRUCIAL BREAK” he flagged on November 10, 2024 preceded an enduring upside extension that, in his view, reestablished an impulsive regime. “We introduced a CRUCIAL BREAK… that XRP was going to interrupt the ATH. Sure, 1 day earlier than the intensive break,” he wrote, linking again to his prior publish.
He argues that the next advance delivered the mandatory guidelines for pattern validation: month-to-month Heikin Ashi closes above earlier highs, worth reclaiming and holding above the Ichimoku Cloud, a collection of closes above the crimson EMA baseline, and a resurgent RSI profile that he explicitly compares to the 2017 impulse. “The IMPULSIVE WAVE construction has not but been finalised,” he added, cautioning {that a} February 2025 pullback was corrective inside a bigger advance moderately than the top of the transfer.
Technically, the thread’s comparative anatomy hinges on constant indicators throughout timeframes and instruments. In 2017 and once more now, candles closed above resistance inside triangle setups as a substitute of failing on the boundary; worth lived above Cloud help moderately than beneath it; and the moving-average “crimson line” acted as dynamic help moderately than resistance.
In the meantime, the RSI sequence that degraded in 2021—“medium energy… adopted by the low energy”—has flipped again to what he calls a “comparable excessive momentum like in 2017, however not in 2021.” In his abstract, the 2017 section was “totally an impulsive 5 Wave construction,” 2021 was “Corrective and subsequently Weak,” and 2024–2025 displays a “NEW IMPULSIVE STRUCTURE” with continuation potential.
Associated Studying
The analyst’s tone is unambiguously constructive. “Contemplating all of the above information, I stay bullish on XRP and the broader blockchain,” he wrote. “We’re getting into a brand new period… and I feel the way forward for Ripple and XRP is shiny, following the lodestar, Polaris.” He closes with a attribute chorus to “assume positively,” however the core of the argument rests on the guidelines of trend-confirmation objects now in place on the month-to-month chart.
Whether or not XRP in the end reproduces the magnitude of its 2017 transfer will rely upon how lengthy these indicators persist—month-to-month closes, momentum sustainability above the Cloud, and respect for the EMA baseline—but Darkish Defender’s comparative framework is express: the market circumstances that fostered XRP’s final explosive section are, in his studying, again on the board.
Whereas the analyst avoided naming an express worth goal in his newest publish, he had outlined one earlier this month. In an October 2 publish on X, Darkish Defender wrote, “We had been proper on XRP. RSI weekly break, weekly pattern break, targets are clear. Nothing can cease what’s coming,” sharing a projected $10.47 goal because the fruits of XRP’s anticipated wave-5 construction.
At press time, XRP traded at $2.80.
Featured picture created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
