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Forget A Bitcoin Yearly Top, BTC Price Might Have Hit A 16-Year Cyclical Peak

February 7, 2026Updated:February 7, 2026No Comments3 Mins Read
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Forget A Bitcoin Yearly Top, BTC Price Might Have Hit A 16-Year Cyclical Peak
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Crypto skilled Tony Severino has opined that Bitcoin isn’t simply exhibiting indicators of a yearly prime but in addition that the BTC worth might have hit a 16-year cyclical peak. This comes amid the flagship crypto’s current crash to $60,000, which sparked fears of a bear market.

Bitcoin Could Be Exhibiting Indicators Of A Peak Amid BTC Value Crash To $60,000

In an X submit, Severino alluded to the yearly Bitcoin chart, which he stated appears like a 16-year cyclical peak moderately than only a yearly prime. The skilled additionally outlined a number of causes this seems to be a main cyclical prime for the BTC worth. First, he famous that the white candlesticks have been reducing in dimension over time, whereas black candlesticks engulf extra white candles with every look. 

Associated Studying

Moreover, Severino highlighted the Doji on the prime of a rising wedge sample whereas the Night Star is in progress, which is a bearish reversal sign for the BTC worth. In the meantime, the Fischer Remodel is crossing bearish with divergence, and the Stochastic is crossing bearish after being rejected from 80. He added that Bitcoin’s Relative Power Index (RSI) is falling again under 70 after making it above this stage on the very best timeframe chart. 

Supply: Chart from Tony Severino on X

His evaluation comes because the BTC worth continues to say no, suggesting the crypto market could also be in a bear market after topping final October. Bitcoin dropped to as little as $60,000 earlier this week, struggling its largest each day decline since the FTX collapse. Veteran dealer Peter Brandt has additionally opined that Bitcoin is in a bear market, predicting that it might nonetheless drop to as little as $42,000 earlier than it sees a backside. 

Motive For The Current BTC Crash

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has commented on the explanation for this current Bitcoin crash, suggesting that it was because of exterior elements moderately than a part of an ongoing bear market. In an X submit, he said that the BTC worth dump was in all probability because of a supplier hedging off the again of BlackRock’s BTC ETF structured merchandise. Notably, BlackRock’s IBIT noticed a file buying and selling quantity of $10 billion on the day of this crash to $60,000. 

Associated Studying

Hayes’ remark comes on the again of Bitcoin’s rebound above $70,000, with the flagship crypto recording one among its largest ever each day good points yesterday following the crash to $60,000. Galaxy Digital’s Head of Analysis, Alex Thorn, recommended that the drop to $60,000 might mark the underside for the BTC worth. This got here as he famous that the 200-week MA, which is round $60,000, has traditionally been a robust entry level for long-term traders. 

On the time of writing, the BTC worth is buying and selling at round $70,000, up over 6% within the final 24 hours, in keeping with information from CoinMarketCap.

Bitcoin
BTC buying and selling at $68,437 on the 1D chart | Supply: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured picture from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

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