ONDO has misplaced over 65% of its worth since October as heavy promoting strain continues to dominate the altcoin market. Whereas Bitcoin has proven relative stability at key ranges, many mid-cap tokens like ONDO have struggled to search out constant demand. This drawdown has pushed sentiment towards the bearish facet, particularly as merchants stay cautious round liquidity occasions and token unlocks.
Nonetheless, some analysts argue that the present dip will not be purely an indication of weak spot. A CryptoQuant report explains that the headlines might scream “value drop,” however the on-chain information is pointing towards “alternative” as an alternative. The main focus is now on ONDO’s huge 1.94 billion token unlock scheduled for January 18, 2026. Traditionally, unlocks can set off panic promoting, as traders anticipate increased circulating provide and extra distribution strain.
Nevertheless, this time could also be completely different. The report means that bigger market members are actively positioning by the decline, utilizing the worry as a liquidity window. Relatively than treating the unlock as a purpose to exit, the info hints that “good cash” is stepping in to soak up provide whereas retail confidence stays fragile. That units the stage for a vital take a look at.
Good Cash Absorption Indicators Are Constructing
The CryptoQuant report outlines why bigger traders seem like ignoring the noise round ONDO’s decline. The primary sign is the “whale protect.” Regardless of the sharp correction because the December 2024 peak, Spot Common Order Measurement continues to be dominated by “Huge Whale Orders,” proven by constant inexperienced dots on the chart. This means establishments are utilizing weak spot to soak up liquidity, with the $0.35–$0.40 zone appearing as a major accumulation vary.
Second, ONDO has formally entered a Taker Purchase Dominant section. The 90-day Cumulative Quantity Delta (CVD) stays optimistic and continues rising, exhibiting that market purchase strain has outweighed market sells for months. That is vital as a result of takers characterize aggressive members who purchase on the ask with out ready for higher entries.
The report frames this alignment as “taker alpha.” When massive whale orders and aggressive taker shopping for strengthen whereas the value falls, it usually displays absorption. If this continues by the unlock, ONDO might be constructing a coiled-spring setup for a 2026 RWA breakout.
ONDO Extends Downtrend as Bulls Defend Key Demand Zone
ONDO stays beneath heavy strain after a chronic decline that has erased most of its 2025 upside. The three-day chart exhibits a transparent breakdown from the previous consolidation vary close to $0.90–$1.00, the place value repeatedly didn’t reclaim momentum through the second half of the 12 months. As soon as sellers pressured a decisive transfer decrease, the market shortly transitioned right into a steep downtrend marked by weak bounces and constant decrease highs.
On the time of writing, ONDO is buying and selling close to $0.33 after slipping under the $0.40 deal with, a psychological stage that beforehand acted as momentary assist. This drop locations the token deep under its key transferring averages, with the shorter development traces rolling over and appearing as overhead resistance. The failed restoration makes an attempt all through late 2025 verify that sellers have stayed in management, whereas consumers have struggled to generate sufficient quantity to shift the development.
Nevertheless, value is now approaching a possible demand zone round $0.30–$0.35, the place volatility traditionally will increase and dip consumers might attempt to step in. If this space fails, the chart suggests draw back might speed up. Nonetheless, a powerful protection might open the door for a stabilization section earlier than any significant rebound.
Featured picture from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
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