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Bitcoin eyes ‘Uptober’ rally despite extreme fear levels

September 29, 2025Updated:September 29, 2025No Comments3 Mins Read
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Bitcoin eyes ‘Uptober’ rally despite extreme fear levels
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Bitcoin eyes ‘Uptober’ rally despite extreme fear levels

The Crypto Worry and Greed Index has slipped to its lowest stage since March, elevating recent considerations over investor confidence even as Bitcoin and Ethereum try a restoration.

Knowledge shared by CryptoQuant analyst JA Maarturn on Sept. 29 confirmed sentiment falling from a impartial 40 in August to an excessive worry stage of 28. The index final touched this vary in March, when Bitcoin traded round $80,000.

Bitcoin Fear Index
Crypto Market Greed and Worry Index (Supply: CryptoQuant)

In the meantime, the sharp deterioration in sentiment coincided with heavy sell-offs in main property. Each Bitcoin and Ethereum slipped under key psychological ranges of $110,000 and $4,000 final week, deepening the sense of uncertainty.

But the retreat proved short-lived. As of press time, Bitcoin worth has recovered $114,000 and Ethereum traded over $4,100, suggesting that panic promoting has given approach to a extra balanced market.

Market backside?

Asset supervisor Bitwise argued that the fear-driven backdrop may symbolize a bottoming part.

It said:

“Final week, sentiment has twice reached ;excessive worry’ ranges on an intraday foundation, but bitcoin has proven relative resilience, holding round ~$108k – a stage that additionally aligns with the short-term holder value foundation – this seems to supply a robust help for bitcoin proper now as sellers are more and more exhausted.”

The agency additional identified that Bitcoin was nonetheless up almost 3.7% in September regardless of final week’s turbulence. That is notable contemplating September is traditionally the weakest month of the yr for the highest crypto.

In distinction, the ultimate quarter typically delivers sturdy positive factors, with November repeatedly rating as Bitcoin’s most worthwhile month.

In response to Bitwise, this historic sample makes present weak point look extra like a chance than a warning signal.

Knowledge from Glassnode helps the case, exhibiting that short-term holders at the moment are realizing web losses, a situation that has traditionally marked reset factors earlier than renewed accumulation. Intervals of capitulation, the place current patrons promote at a loss, have typically supplied the muse for longer-term rallies.

Bitcoin HoldersBitcoin Holders
Bitcoin Quick-term Holders Web Revenue and Loss (Supply: Glassnode)

Bitcoin prepares for Uptober

Contemplating the flagship digital asset worth resilience, crypto buying and selling agency QCP posited that BTC merchants are optimistic of an “Uptober” rally.

In response to the agency, gradual optimism has returned to the perpetual futures market, the place leveraged longs have re-entered after final week’s liquidations.

QCP said that Bitcoin open curiosity has risen from $42.8 billion to $43.6 billion. On the similar time, funding charges stay constructive and positioning on platforms like Hyperliquid has swung decisively again towards the lengthy aspect.

Nonetheless, the agency warned {that a} sustained uptrend will solely be confirmed if BTC clears the $115,000 threshold. It added:

“Choices markets replicate this hesitation, with put skew and OI in BTC and ETH slowly normalizing as merchants rebuild conviction.”

Bitcoin Market Knowledge

On the time of press 3:34 pm UTC on Sep. 29, 2025, Bitcoin is ranked #1 by market cap and the value is up 3.69% over the previous 24 hours. Bitcoin has a market capitalization of $2.27 trillion with a 24-hour buying and selling quantity of $54.3 billion. Be taught extra about Bitcoin ›

Crypto Market Abstract

On the time of press 3:34 pm UTC on Sep. 29, 2025, the overall crypto market is valued at at $3.91 trillion with a 24-hour quantity of $158.36 billion. Bitcoin dominance is at present at 57.97%. Be taught extra in regards to the crypto market ›

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