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Prediction markets firms take heat in Senate Commerce hearing scrutinizing surge

May 20, 2026Updated:May 20, 2026No Comments5 Mins Read
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Prediction markets firms take heat in Senate Commerce hearing scrutinizing surge
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Prediction markets firms take heat in Senate Commerce hearing scrutinizing surge

Prediction markets platforms corresponding to these run by Kalshi and Crypto.com drew two hours of important questioning in a U.S. Senate Commerce Committee listening to, together with scrutiny on the platforms’ promoting practices, regulatory disputes and the dishonest they could encourage.

“We would like athletes competing on benefit, however the alternative to earn money can tempt gamblers — and generally even athletes themselves — to ensure a certain guess,” Senator Ted Cruz, a Texas Republican who chairs the committee, mentioned through the Wednesday listening to. He mentioned high-profile incidents of participant dishonest “sow doubt within the minds of followers.”

Cruz flagged some current circumstances, saying: “NBA gamers and coaches are accused of manipulating efficiency and offering insider data to win bets. Two main league baseball pitchers allegedly rigged their very own pitches in change for cash. [Major League Soccer] banned two gamers for deliberately getting yellow playing cards to win bets, and the UFC has canceled matches and terminated contracts due to suspected match fixing.”

“It isn’t unusual for followers scrolling Twitter on a Sunday afternoon within the fall to see posts speculating {that a} controversial name by an official was associated to playing,” Cruz mentioned.

Different lawmakers targeted on advertising that fosters downside playing or that has reached youths which might be in any other case meant to be blocked from betting. Senator John Hickenlooper, a Colorado Democrat, accused the prediction markets companies of unleashing the “hounds of hell” in social media and advertising to “prey on our younger folks.”

Patrick McHenry, who was a outstanding member of the Home of Representatives till his current retirement, is now an adviser on the Coalition for Prediction Markets that represents Kalshi, Crypto.com, Robinhood, Coinbase and others. He mentioned trades aren’t allowed for anyone underneath 18 and that the typical age of customers is 33.

Downside gamblers

Harry Levant, director of playing coverage on the Public Well being Advocacy Institute, testified on Wednesday, telling the lawmakers he was a recovering playing addict and lamenting the “avalanche of unregulated promoting” from prediction market companies.

“It is a identified addictive product, similar to heroin,” he mentioned.

Earlier this week, Kalshi co-founder and CEO Tarek Mansour posted on social media web site X to focus on his firm’s $2 million dedication with the Nationwide Council on Downside Playing to assist an initiative on “dealer well being and security.””As retail participation in markets enhance, we’ve a accountability to steadiness free markets and particular person accountability with buyer schooling and security guardrails,” he wrote.

And nonetheless different lawmakers on Wednesday dove into the quickly rising business’s avoidance of state regulators and competitors with regulated gaming on U.S. tribal lands, the place income is a core assist of tribal reservations’ monetary well being.

CFTC

Even because the senators put the event-contract area underneath the microscope, the Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee that regulates derivatives buying and selling platforms is pursuing a lawsuit filed on Tuesday to cease a brand new legislation in Minnesota that was set to carry prediction market exercise as unlawful there. The regulator provides this to a rising listing of lawsuits the federal company has filed towards states which have sought to restrict prediction markets or declare them in violation of state playing legal guidelines.

“This Minnesota legislation turns lawful operators and members in prediction markets into felons in a single day,” mentioned CFTC Chairman Mike Selig in an announcement, who added this swimsuit alongside related company fights towards Arizona, Connecticut, Illinois and New York.

Selig has led an company authorized marketing campaign to defend his company’s authority to oversee and regulate prediction markets, that are managed on registered platforms underneath CFTC guidelines. In the meantime, his company — at which he is the only member of what is meant to be a five-member fee — can also be pursuing a proper rule to ascertain tailor-made requirements for the sector.

McHenry defended the CFTC function on Wednesday.

“The CFTC, as a cop on the beat, has the capability to supervise this market, simply as they’ve accomplished with the broader commodities market that is been round and properly versed for many years,” McHenry mentioned.

Senator Hickenlooper responded, “You are the primary one that’s advised me you assume that they assume the CFTC is as much as the requirements.”

One of many witnesses, Invoice Miller, the president and CEO of the American Gaming Affiliation, contended the federal regulators “are completely not competent to deal with this, and two, they’re completely hurting tribes and states financially.” He added that, “it was by no means Congress’s intent to create a federal division of playing via the CFTC.”

McHenry argued that these occasion contracts are derivatives that belong to “basically completely different enterprise fashions” from bets positioned with playing companies. He equated them to long-regulated grain futures contracts, and he added that “our member corporations have enhanced surveillance higher than any on line casino and higher than any sportsbook within the nation.”

In the long run, Chairman Cruz mentioned, “The Supreme Court docket could should resolve the problem.”



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